Digestly

Dec 30, 2024

Biden Thinks He Would Have WON?!

Breaking Points - Biden Thinks He Would Have WON?!

The discussion centers on Joe Biden's belief that he could have won against Donald Trump in a re-election campaign, despite negative polling and criticism of his administration's decisions, such as appointing Merrick Garland as Attorney General. The conversation highlights Biden's perceived delusion and the media's role in not adequately covering his cognitive decline. The polarization in American politics is discussed, suggesting that even unpopular candidates can have close elections due to strong partisan divides. The media's failure to address Biden's decline is seen as a significant factor in the erosion of public trust, contributing to the political landscape where Trump could potentially return to power. The conversation also touches on the broader implications of media complicity and the shifting political coalitions in the U.S.

Key Points:

  • Biden believes he could have beaten Trump despite negative polls and criticism.
  • Media failed to cover Biden's cognitive decline, impacting public trust.
  • Polarization allows close elections even with unpopular candidates.
  • Biden's administration criticized for handling of certain issues, like Merrick Garland's appointment.
  • Media complicity seen as contributing to political failures and Trump's potential return.

Details:

1. 📰 Biden's Confidence Amidst Criticism

  • Joe Biden expressed confidence that he would have defeated Donald Trump in a past electoral contest, indicating strong self-assuredness.
  • Despite facing significant criticism regarding his political decisions and policies, Biden maintains a high level of confidence in his capabilities.
  • Criticisms include handling of domestic policy issues and international relations, yet Biden's confidence suggests a strategic focus on his political resilience and experience.
  • Biden's self-confidence amidst challenges highlights his belief in leveraging his political experience to navigate criticisms effectively.

2. 🤔 Biden's Regrets and Controversial Decisions

  • President Biden reportedly regrets ending his re-election campaign, with sources indicating his belief that he would have defeated Trump if he had continued.
  • White House sources suggest that Biden's decision was influenced by various strategic considerations, including his age and political climate.
  • Biden's confidence in a potential victory highlights his belief in his policies and leadership capabilities.
  • The decision to halt the campaign reflects broader political calculations and possible internal advisement that may have weighed on his final choice.

3. 📊 Electoral Insights and Polling Surprises

3.1. Polling Challenges for Biden Campaign

3.2. Electoral Projections and Implications

4. 🔍 Polarization, Shifting Coalitions, and Election Dynamics

  • Polarization has a profound impact on election outcomes, allowing candidates perceived as unqualified to remain competitive due to entrenched partisan loyalty.
  • A significant prediction error was made by underestimating the effect of polarization, particularly how it allows 'generic' candidates to compete effectively, despite perceived inadequacies.
  • The anticipated dominance of polarization, especially regarding figures like Trump, was overestimated, but the close election results indicate strong partisan divisions persist.
  • The resilience of certain candidates in closely contested elections underscores the depth of polarization, emphasizing the challenge of shifting voter allegiances.

5. 🗳️ Campaign Challenges and Biden's Public Perception

  • The election was close, but Trump's diminishing influence helped Biden.
  • Biden believes the campaign could have succeeded without Kamala Harris's presence, highlighting a strategic focus on Biden's leadership.
  • Public sentiment suggests Biden might not sustain another four-year term due to health concerns, which are impacting voter confidence.
  • Political coalitions are shifting, with notable changes among young, Latino, and college-educated demographics, indicating a broader strategic realignment.
  • Biden's cognitive ability was a recurring concern, with potential campaign gaffes anticipated, emphasizing the need for careful public engagements.

6. 📉 Media's Role in Biden's Image and Cover-Up Allegations

  • Polls indicated potential shifts in traditionally Democratic states like New Jersey, New Mexico, and Virginia, suggesting a possible win for Trump if Biden remained on the ticket.
  • Biden's support for controversial policies, like the Israeli genocide, could lead to further erosion among young voters.
  • Exit polls showed Biden underperformed with most demographics except the wealthy, implying a need for strategic adjustments.
  • Media would likely intensify efforts to undermine Trump while maintaining a protective stance towards Biden, which might skew public perception.
  • Polarization is not strictly partisan; voters may choose candidates based on aversions rather than affiliations.
  • Media coverage indicates Biden is shielded from negative press, potentially affecting his awareness of public sentiment and performance critique.

7. 🎥 Media Reflection on Coverage and Political Scandals

  • The Wall Street Journal highlighted a political scandal involving a cover-up of Joe Biden's cognitive decline beginning in Spring 2021, affecting his presidential performance.
  • Biden's inconsistent performance days were noted from the start, impacting his ability to fulfill duties effectively, raising concerns about his capability to serve another term.
  • The Biden administration's aides recognized his limitations but did not allow Democratic voters to weigh in, effectively cancelling the Democratic primary process.
  • Kamala Harris's lack of a solid voter base and political prowess further questioned the Democratic party's strategic decisions in presenting a strong candidate.
  • Journalists reflected on the media's inadequate coverage of Biden's cognitive decline, evident during televised debates, impacting public perception and the party's strategy.

8. 📉 Impact of Media Complicity on Public Trust

  • Media's delay in covering critical issues surrounding political candidates, such as concerns about Biden's health, contributes significantly to declining public trust.
  • Gallup's polling indicates that trust in media returned to a record low in 2017, emphasizing the ongoing skepticism about media transparency and reliability.
  • Despite obvious signs of Biden's health decline since 2019, media narratives often dismissed these concerns as partisan smears, delaying acknowledgment until issues became undeniable.
  • The media's perceived role in covering up Biden's health issues exemplifies a broader trend of complicity, which has a profound impact on public perception and trust.
  • Many voters expressed their support for Biden primarily as a vote against Trump, showcasing the polarization influenced by media narratives and coverage.

9. 🗣️ The Fall of Media Credibility and Public Trust Concerns

  • Public trust in media has been significantly shattered, with recent events including the portrayal of political figures and the 2020 primary elections contributing to this decline.
  • Liberals, traditionally more trusting of mainstream media, have also lost faith, which has shifted political dynamics and discourse.
  • The media's portrayal of Joe Biden as the only viable candidate against Trump was influential during the 2020 primary elections, but ultimately this strategy proved ineffective as Trump is seen as returning to the political forefront.
  • Media figures and outlets that were prominent during the "resistance" era are now viewed as ineffective, having failed to achieve their political objectives, leading to increased public skepticism.
  • The alignment of media narratives with political agendas, such as those from the Biden administration, has led to perceptions of bias and complicity, damaging credibility.
  • Terms like "cheap fakes" adopted by major media outlets like The New York Times suggest a lack of critical evaluation and reliance on political narratives.
  • Coverage of major events, such as the Obama fundraiser, is retrospectively criticized for lacking journalistic integrity and being swayed by political influences.

10. 🎉 Reflections on 2024, Future Tech Concerns, and New Year Goals

10.1. Reflections on 2024

10.2. Future Tech Concerns

10.3. New Year Goals

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